Although Donald J. Trump announced on July 2 that a trade deal had been reached between the two countries, no formal agreement has been disclosed, leaving the status of the deal uncertain.
Key Events * Việt Nam Faces International Scrutiny Over Political Repression at the Review of the International Covenant on Civil and
Đan Thanh wrote this article in Vietnamese, published in Luat Khoa Magazine on July 3, 2025. First and foremost, I
In a pivotal review before the United Nations Human Rights Committee meeting on July 7-8, 2025, international human rights watchdogs have called on Việt Nam to urgently reform its repressive legal framework and end its systemic abuses of civil and political rights.
The review, held in Geneva, was part of Việt Nam’s third periodic report under the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR), to which the country has been a party since 1982.
The Human Rights Committee—composed of independent experts—examined Việt Nam’s compliance with its obligations under the treaty, amid mounting international concerns over the country’s worsening human rights environment.
In advance of the review, Human Rights Watch (HRW) issued a briefing urging the Committee to press Việt Nam on its continued suppression of fundamental freedoms.
HRW highlighted the government’s use of vaguely defined laws, such as Articles 117 and 331 of the Penal Code, to criminalize dissent, prosecute peaceful activists, and stifle independent media. It also noted the prolonged imprisonment of prominent journalists, land rights advocates, and religious leaders.
“The Committee’s review of Vietnam will expose once for all Vietnam’s baseless assertions,” said Elaine Pearson, Asia director at HRW. “UN member states should use the Committee’s findings to denounce the government’s terrible human rights record, and press Vietnam to commit to real change, not empty words.”
Among the critical issues raised were the lack of judicial independence, incommunicado detention, forced confessions, and tight control over religious practices. Rights groups also flagged restrictions on freedom of association, the harassment of civil society organizations, and Việt Nam’s failure to allow independent labor unions.
This review comes at a politically sensitive time. Việt Nam is currently seeking closer economic ties with Western partners and is negotiating a new trade agreement with the United States.
The UN Human Rights Committee is expected to issue its concluding observations in the coming weeks. Civil society groups have urged the international community to use the Committee’s findings as leverage to demand that Việt Nam bring its laws and practices into line with international standards.
Despite years of dialogue and repeated recommendations, Việt Nam has yet to implement meaningful reforms to its human rights infrastructure. Observers warn that without sustained international pressure, the regime is unlikely to ease its grip on dissent.
Last week, a tentative trade framework reached between Việt Nam and the U.S.—expected to reduce tariffs to around 11%—was dramatically upended when President Donald Trump, after a telephone call with Vietnamese General Secretary Tô Lâm, announced new tariffs of 20% across the board, or 40% for re‑exported goods.
On July 2, Trump said that Việt Nam would be subjected to a 20% tariff, with a higher 40% surcharge on goods deemed transshipments—Chinese-origin goods rerouted through Việt Nam to skirt U.S. tariffs. The abrupt change blindsided negotiators and dimmed hopes in Hà Nội. Initially, facing a threat of 46% reciprocal tariffs under Trump’s “Liberation Day” policy, Việt Nam had been negotiating to lower the levy.
POLITICO reports that Vietnamese officials were caught off guard, and have neither confirmed nor formally accepted Trump’s terms. The lack of formal documents or a signed agreement has sparked uncertainty—raising questions about the reliability of U.S. trade commitments.
Major concerns of Hà Nội include the ambiguity of the "transshipment" clause, which targets goods with Chinese inputs—a critical issue for Vietnam’s manufacturing sector that relies heavily on Chinese materials. Also, there is investor anxiety, as foreign and local exporters await clarity on tariff classification and enforcement.
Việt Nam exports nearly one-third of its goods to the U.S., with outbound shipments surging in recent years. The deal was expected to safeguard that market channel. A sudden 20-40% tariff range may erode profit margins or prompt supply chain adjustments. Concerns linger that the transshipment provisions could disproportionately penalize legitimate Vietnamese exports, given their dependency on Chinese inputs.
Observers warn that Trump’s unilateral policy shift undermines U.S. credibility in trade diplomacy, signaling to ASEAN and global partners that negotiated outcomes may be altered without warning. It also underscores Vietnam’s balancing act between maintaining economic ties with the U.S. and managing dependency on Chinese supply chains.
While the revised tariff deal offers Vietnam relief from the initially threatened 46% duty, its abrupt redefinition under Trump, especially with murky "transshipment" terms, has sown confusion in Hà Nội and among exporters. Both sides now face pressure to formalize terms, define enforcement, and restore confidence before the deal unravels.
More than 3,000 Vietnamese nationals entered the United Kingdom illegally via small boats across the English Channel in the first three months of 2025, according to data reported by BBC News Tiếng Việt.
From January to March, a total of 3,044 Vietnamese migrants made the dangerous crossing, making Vietnam the sixth-largest source country of irregular Channel arrivals. In total, 19,982 people crossed the Channel by small boat in the first half of the year, attempting to enter the UK without authorization.
The International Organization for Migration (IOM) reported that at least 18 people died in the first six months of 2025 while attempting to cross the Channel—highlighting the deadly risks faced by migrants, many of whom are fleeing poverty, debt, or labor exploitation networks in their home countries.
In response to the escalating crisis, the UK government has issued fresh warnings about deteriorating security conditions along the Channel and announced plans to take more aggressive action to stem the flow of unauthorized crossings.
Proposals by the Home Office include issuing entry bans on individuals suspected of human smuggling, blocking access to social media, and restricting the use of mobile phones for suspects. Those convicted of preparing to smuggle migrants into the UK could face up to 14 years in prison under newly introduced legislation.
The UK is also tightening its naturalization rules for migrants arriving by boat. A newly proposed law would effectively block the path to citizenship for those who enter the country through irregular maritime routes. Previously, asylum seekers arriving by small boat could apply for citizenship after 10 years of legal residency.
The spike in Vietnamese arrivals reflects broader concerns about migrant smuggling networks that exploit vulnerable individuals—often promising jobs or asylum in Europe, only to place them in precarious or exploitative conditions.
Vietnamese nationals have been among the most at-risk groups in past migration tragedies, including the 2019 Essex lorry incident in which 39 Vietnamese were found dead in a refrigerated truck trailer.
Human rights groups continue to urge the UK and EU governments to create more safe and legal pathways for migration, warning that crackdowns alone may push migrants further into the hands of traffickers.
As UK policymakers move to finalize new laws, the growing number of Vietnamese attempting the journey underscores a regional and international migration crisis in need of deeper, long-term solutions.
The Vietnamese authorities have formally protested after a Chinese oceanographic research vessel conducted activities within Vietnam’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) off the central coast—a move viewed as a direct challenge to Hanoi’s maritime sovereignty.
Newsweek reports that according to ship-tracking data, Việt Nam dispatched its own naval vessel to intercept the Chinese survey ship, signaling an assertive response to the incursion. Hà Nội publicly stated that the vessel’s operations violated Việt Nam’s sovereign rights—among the most sensitive flashpoints in the South China Sea dispute.
This incident mirrors a broader pattern of Beijing employing ostensibly civilian research ships for strategic sea control in disputed waters. Analysts have noted that such vessels frequently “loiter” near undersea cables and vital maritime features—at times crossing the EEZs of nations like Việt Nam and the Philippines—with potential dual uses for intelligence gathering and resource mapping.
Vietnam’s reaction underscores increasing regional frustration with China’s assertiveness, reflecting past confrontations such as the 2014 Hai Yang Shi You 981 oil rig standoff—which sparked major national protests and diplomatic backlash after Chinese vessels drilled inside Vietnam’s claimed waters.
Following the latest incident, senior officials in Hà Nội accused Beijing of violating international maritime law and shifting regional power dynamics. They warned that allowing such intrusions without pushback risks emboldening future incursions—not just by research vessels but also by military or coast guard units.
While China maintains these ships conduct legitimate research, critics argue they function as maritime sentinels—feeding strategic intelligence on seabed infrastructure, naval movements, and energy reserves.
The flare-up comes at a sensitive time. The South China Sea remains a critical maritime crossroads, with over a third of global shipping passing through its waters—valued at an estimated US $3.3 trillion in trade annually. Việt Nam is enhancing its naval and coast guard capabilities and deepening security cooperation with partners like the U.S. and Japan to reinforce its maritime claims.
Việt Nam's formal diplomatic protest demands the immediate withdrawal of the Chinese vessel and an end to unauthorized marine surveys. Vietnamese officials are also calling on international bodies and ASEAN to pressure China to respect UNCLOS-sanctioned boundaries and curtail parallel civilian-intelligence operations.
Việt Nam’s Supreme People’s Procuracy has indicted 141 individuals in a massive gambling and illegal betting case centered around the King Club at the Pullman Hotel in Hà Nội. The accused, including several former provincial officials, collectively wagered over $106 million. The operation was allegedly organized by coordinated Vietnamese and South Korean networks under the guise of legal gaming. Among those indicted are former Phú Thọ Vice Chairman Hồ Đại Dũng and former Hòa Bình Party Secretary Ngô Ngọc Đức. Both were listed as "businesspeople" in the indictment, despite previously holding high-ranking government roles.
A fire broke out on July 6 at the Độc Lập apartment complex in Hồ Chí Minh City, killing eight people, including two children. The blaze, traced to faulty electrical wiring, started on the ground floor where there was no second exit, trapping the victims. Initial social media reports speculated the charging of a VinFast electric vehicle as the cause, fueled by images showing a VF3 model at the scene. Several state-run media outlets briefly published the rumor but later removed the articles. Deputy Prime Minister Nguyễn Hòa Bình has ordered an urgent investigation and potential legal action against any wrongdoing.
In a surprising move, the State Bank of Vietnam injected more than 300 trillion đồng ($11.5 billion) into the economy through credit channels in the final four days of June 2025. Such a large infusion is typically reserved for year-end liquidity pushes. Deputy Governor Phạm Thanh Hà confirmed the jump at a July 8 press conference, revealing that credit rose from 16.9 to 17.2 million trillion đồng between June 26 and 30. Analysts are questioning the urgency and transparency behind this unusually timed monetary intervention.
On July 7, the Ministry of Public Security announced that 370 corruption and abuse-of-power cases had been prosecuted in the first half of 2025, involving over 1,000 individuals. The Central Steering Committee on Anti-Corruption reported that among its high-priority cases, investigations were completed for seven cases (127 defendants), indictments issued for five cases (87 defendants), and seven trials were conducted at first instance, with nine more concluded at the appeals level—affecting a total of 315 individuals. The crackdown signals an intensifying campaign against systemic corruption in both central and local government ranks.
On July 7, state media for the first time confirmed Colonel Tô Long as head of the Department of External Security, after President Lương Cường awarded him the Third-Class Military Merit Medal. No official announcement had preceded the appointment. Nearly a month earlier, Tô Long’s name briefly appeared as department chief on Wikipedia before being removed. He is widely believed to be the son of General Secretary Tô Lâm, though the relationship has never been officially acknowledged. The discreet confirmation raises fresh concerns about dynastic power and the lack of transparency in Vietnam’s top security apparatus.
South China Morning Post/Laura Zhou/July 11
“Tensions could worsen between Beijing and Manila over the disputed South China Sea with ‘more provocations’ expected after Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jnr shored up support in the midterm election, a Chinese maritime analyst says.
Wu Shicun, founder of the government-sponsored think tank the National Institute for South China Sea Studies, also said Beijing and Hanoi could be heading for confrontation over Vietnam’s increasing land reclamation activities in the contested Spratly Islands.”
The Guardian/Rebecca Ratcliffe/July 6
“How transshipments will be defined under the agreement – and how this policy will be enforced – remains to be seen, but it could have significant implications for global trade and tensions with China.
Vietnam, a booming manufacturing hub, benefited during the last Trump administration when punishing tariffs placed on China prompted many Chinese companies to shift their supply chains.
However, this caused the Vietnamese trade surplus with the US to surge, attracting US ire and allegations that Vietnam was wrongly acting as a conduit for Chinese companies wanting access to the US market.”
Although Donald J. Trump announced on July 2 that a trade deal had been reached between the two countries, no formal agreement has been disclosed, leaving the status of the deal uncertain.
Đan Thanh wrote this article in Vietnamese, published in Luat Khoa Magazine on July 9, 2025. Đàm Vĩnh Hằng translated
The visit of French President Emmanuel Macron to Việt Nam on May 26, 2025, marked a pivotal moment in strengthening
The first half of 2025 has seen an alarming escalation in the Vietnamese government's crackdown on fundamental freedoms.
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